I think the East West Routes don’t necessarily need to be light rail at this point in time. BRT would be a suitable alternative, especially for Nerang to Broadbeach.
Possibly correct, but I think 704 needs urgent attention either way. I’ve been on it several times this year with passengers packed in like sardines between Helensvale and Harbour Town. Maybe some artics?
In July 2013, a year before tram services started, the following buses serviced Surfers Paradise on a weekday in a normal hour:
Southport to Broadbeach (12)
700 x 2
702 x 2
703 x 2
706 x 2
707 x 2
709 x 2
Seaworld to Broadbeach (6)
750 x 2 (extending to Robina)
750 x 4 (to Pacific Fair)
There were also theme park expresses on top of that.
We now have only 4 buses an hour to Seaworld.
In short - there is a while to go before light rail is necessary north of GCUH or along the GC Hwy from Helensvale to Southport. You could triple the 704 headway and there would still be capacity.
South of Burleigh on the other hand is going to experience service degradation much sooner given it is already sitting at 14 buses an hour through Palm Beach and congestion is higher - it is already pretty degraded even now.